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2008 Consolidated Plan for Housing & Community Development
CHAPTER TWO: Community Profile and Needs Assessment

This chapter of the Consolidated Plan presents an overall assessment of the community and its housing and community development needs. It describes what currently exists to meet those needs, and what the gaps are. It provides the foundation for establishing priorities and for allocating CDBG and HOME funding to address the identified needs.

I. GENERAL DEMOGRAPHICS

Burlington, with a population of just under 40,000, is Vermont's largest city. Burlington is the regional hub of Chittenden County for commerce, government, education, arts, entertainment, and health, legal, financial and social services. It is the only entitlement community in the state.

Population

The city’s population is growing, but slowly. Population growth within the city is limited by the fact that the city is largely already built out. Nonetheless, the city is committed to achieving continued growth through infill and increased density. The county, in contrast, is seeing significant population growth.

Population Growth in Chittenden County Towns form 1960 to 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

Many of the biggest shifts in the composition of Burlington’s population occurred between 1970 and 1980. Drops in the proportions of family households coincided with increases in the proportions of college students and single-person households. There has always been a substantial difference between the overall number of families in the city and the number of families who have children.

Trends in the Types of Households in Burlington from 1960 to 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

College Students

The city is home to two residential institutions of higher learning (the University of Vermont and Champlain College) and currently also to two additional educational institutions with substantial student populations (the Community College of Vermont and Burlington College). The college population in Burlington grew from 5,877 in 1970 to 10,163 in 2000, and over 25% of Burlington’s population is now enrolled in college or graduate school. That contributes to the city’s vitality (and makes the city’s demographics younger than the rest of the state), but also puts pressure on the local rental housing market and on the quality of life in many neighborhoods – especially as 60% of Burlington’s college students do not live in dorms.

Enrollment at the University of Vermont and at Champlain College is expected to continue to increase:

Projected Enrollment
Source: UVM, Champlain College and December 2006 Allen & Brooks Report©      

06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13
UVM 10,572  10,930 11,155 11,265 11,380 11,415 11,420
Champlain College 1,725   1,980 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000
TOTAL 12,297  12,910 13,155 13,265 13,380 13,415 13,420

Student Housing - # of Beds

             
UVM 5,661 5,661  5,661  5,864  5,864  5,864  5,864 
Champlain College  769 844 844 844 844 844 844
TOTAL 6,430 6,505 6,505 6,708 6,708 6,708 6,708
# Students Off Campus (Enrollment minus Beds) 5,867 6,405 6,650 6,557 6,672 6,707 6,712
Likely Off-Campus Apartment Demand (2 students per apartment) 2,934 3,203 3,325 3,279 3,336 3,354 3,356

 

Map Showing Concentrations of College Students within Burlington Neighborhoods

85 – 90%

40 – 65 %

15 – 35 %

0 – 15 %

College Student Neighborhoods
Source: 2000 Census

 

You can view this information in a table format here.

 

Age

Because of its large college student population, Burlington has many young adults. The number of children has decreased significantly since the 1960’s, but that downward trend – together with the birth rate – appear to have stabilized.

 

You can view this information in a table format here.

The number of seniors is increasing, and is projected to increase further: According to projections from the AARP Burlington Livable Communities Project, there will be a 50% increase in the number of Burlington residents age 55 to 65 between the years 2000 and 2010, and a similar increase in those age 65 and older beyond 2010.

Chart Showing Trends Among Different Age Groups from 1970 to 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

Racial and Ethnic Diversity

Burlington has become more racially and ethnically diverse over the last 25 years. In 2000, 9.1% of city residents identified themselves as something other than white and not Hispanic. (The 2000 Census allowed people to identify themselves as multi-racial for the first time.) In 2000, the city's largest single minority group was Asian; among that group, Vietnamese are the largest subgroup.

Race and Ethnicity Trends in Burlington from 1980 to 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

Burlington is much more diverse than most of the rest of Chittenden County. Burlington accounts for about 27% of the county's population, yet the city's percentage of racial minorities is considerably higher in each racial category:

Comparison of Race and Ethnicity, Burlington and Chittenden County, in 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

Burlington’s diversity is continuing to increase, and is in marked contract to the rest of the state. The chart below shows the public school population in the 2006-07 school year:

Public School Population
Source: Burlington School District 2006-07 Annual Report  PDF

Burlington Vermont
White 74.15% 94.33% 
Black   11.46% 1.61%
Asian 6.44% 1.50%
Hispanic or Latino 1.71% 1.03%
American Indian or Alaskan Native 0.28% 0.42%
Hawaiian or Pacific Islander 0.08% 0.11%
Multi-cultural 2.89% 1.00%
No race reported 1.60% N/A

Immigrants and refugees contribute substantially to Burlington’s increasing diversity. The 2000 Census showed that almost 5% of city residents (1,925 people) had entered the country in the last ten years – and 1,345 residents had entered the country in the last five years. Major refugee resettlement groups have included Vietnamese, Bosnians, Sudanese, Congolese, Bantu refugees from Somalia and, most recently, Burundians and Iraqis. The Vermont Refugee Resettlement Program anticipates the arrival of 457 refugees during federal fiscal year 2008, with Burlington as a principal destination.

Income and Poverty

Chittenden County is the most prosperous county in Vermont, with a HUD-estimated median family income of $70,100 in 2008. Median income in Burlington, however, lags below that of the rest of Chittenden County (with the exception of the city of Winooski) and behind the state as a whole. As of the 2000 Census, 57% of Burlington’s residents were “low- and moderate-income,” meaning that they were living in households whose income was 80% or less of the area median income. The table and the map show income differences as of the 2000 Census.

Area
Source
: 2000 Census
Median Family Income Difference from the State Median Difference from the County Median Difference from the City Median
Vermont $48,625      
Chittenden County  $59,460 $10,835    
Charlotte    $71,090 $22,465 $11,630  
Williston $69,762 $21,137 $10,302  
South Burlington $67,241 $18,616 $7,781  
Essex $65,794 $17,169 $6,334  
Essex Junction $61,985 $13,360 $2,525  
Colchester $58,358 $9,733 ($1,102)  
Milton $50,972 $2,347 ($8,488)  
Winooski $38,551 ($10,074) ($20,909)  
Burlington $46,012 ($2,613) ($13,448)  
   Census Tract 11    $69,338 $20,713 $9,878 $23,326
   Census Tract 7 $65,000 $16,375 $5,540 $18,988
   Census Tract 8     $57,375 $8,750 ($2,085) $11,363
   Census Tract 9 $51,667 $3,042 ($7,793) $5,655
   Census Tract 2 $50,665 $2,040 ($8,795) $4,653
   Census Tract 1 $48,917 $292 ($10,543) $2,905
   Census Tract 6 $48,705 $80 ($10,755) $2,693
   Census Tract 5 $44,327 ($4,298) ($15,133) ($1,685)
   Census Tract 3 $30,179 ($18,446) ($29,281) ($15,833)
   Census Tract 10 $28,382 ($20,243) ($31,078) ($17,630)
   Census Tract 4 $27,574 ($21,051) ($31,886) ($18,438)

Click here to view a map of city census tracts to see where the tracts listed above are located.

Map Showing Median Income Levels in Chittenden County in 2000

> $70,000
$65 - $70,000
$60 - $65,000
$55 - $60,000
$50 - $55,000
$45 - $50,000
$35 - $40,000
This information is available in a table format above.

More recent data – a comparison of median adjusted gross income for taxpayers by school district in 2006 – similarly shows that income in Burlington lags behind other Chittenden County communities and behind the state as a whole.

Chart Showing Median Adjusted Gross Income by School District in 2006

You can view this information in a table format here.

Families living in poverty are concentrated within Burlington and the adjoining city of Winooski. As of the 2000 Census, 43% of the county’s impoverished families were living in Burlington, although Burlington had only 20% of county families overall. Burlington’s Old North End neighborhoods had the highest poverty rates of any census tracts in the state. The Old North End includes census tracts 3, 4, 5 and part of 10; click here to view a map of the city’s census tracts.

Chart Comparing Poverty Rates in 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

The 2000 Census showed that the poverty rate in Burlington was 20%. However, the overall poverty rate in Burlington is skewed by the city’s large population of college students. Fifty-one percent of those enrolled in college were living in poverty, but that is most often a temporary condition. Excluding those enrolled in college, the overall poverty rate in Burlington in 2000 was 11.2%. Source: CHAS Table A13.

For families, the 2000 poverty rate in Burlington was 10.4%. Not unusually, poverty is particularly pronounced among women raising their children as single parents: Seventy-two percent of families with children living in poverty were households headed by women. In the Old North End neighborhoods of Burlington, where there are a high proportion of female-headed households, 60% of those households – and 39% of children age 17 and younger – were living in poverty.

Poverty is not synonymous with not working. Forty-nine percent of families living in poverty had at least one working adult in the household, and 11% had at least one adult working full-time, year round.

Poverty Trends

Poverty rates for families, families with children, and female-headed families with children decreased in the 1990’s after increasing – sharply, in some cases – in the previous decade. For seniors, the poverty rate continued to decline over the last 20 years.

Twenty percent of the children (those under age 18) in Burlington continued to live in poverty in 2000. That compared to a national rate of 16.6%, a state rate of 11.4% and a county rate of 8.4%. For seniors (those age 65 and older), there was less difference between the poverty rates in Burlington (10.5%), the nation (9.9%), the state (8.9%) and the county (8.2%).

Those Living in Poverty
Source: Census  

1980 1990 2000
# families  563 798 743
# families with children under 18 434 689 624
# female-headed households with children under 18  299 504 451
# age 65 and older 515 408 383
# age 17and under 990 1,208 1,248

 

Chart Showing Poverty Trends Among Different Household Types from 1980 to 2000

You can view this information in a table format here.

Income and Poverty by Race and Ethnicity

Just as poverty disproportionate affects women raising children as single parents, it also disproportionately affects minorities. Both individual and family poverty rates are significantly higher among most minority groups in Burlington:

Race
Source: 2000 Census 
Total Individuals # Individuals below poverty level % Individuals below poverty level  Total Families # Families below poverty level % Families below poverty level
White    32,412  6,302  19.4%  6,640  646  9.7%
Black/African American 719 219 30.5% 156 40 25.6%
American Indian 163 69 42.3% 19 5 26.3%
Asian 922 223 24.2% 195 33 16.9%
South Pacific Islander 15 0 0.0%  9 0  0.0%
Some Other Race 166 39 23.5% 15 9 60.0%
Two or More Races 672 171 25. 5% 88 10 11.4%

Income disparities by race have grown enormously since 1980. In 1980, the median family income for black city residents was 81% of the median family income for white residents. By 2000, the median family income for black residents had dropped to 54% of the median family income for white residents. And whereas in 1980, black families in the Metropolitan Statistical Area had a higher median income than white families, their median income dropped to 63% of white families in 2000.

Median Family Income
Source: Census
1980 - Burlington 2000 - Burlington 1980 - MSA 2000 - MSA
White    $18,620   $47,330 $20,888 $57,866
Hispanic $17,604 $29,083 $18,021 $60,000
   % Difference Hispanic and White 94.54% 61.45% 86.27% 103.69%
Black $15,000 $25,714 $30,104 $36,429
   % Difference Black and White 80.56% 54.33% 144.12% 62.95%

In the Economic Opportunity section of the Plan, there is additional information on income disparities for other groups, such as persons with disabilities.

91.210 (a)
The jurisdiction must also identify and describe any areas within the jurisdiction with concentrations of racial/ethnic minorities and/or low-income families, stating how it defines the terms ``area of low-income concentration'' and ``area of minority concentration'' for this purpose. The locations and degree of these concentrations must be identified, either in a narrative or on one or more maps.

Areas of Low-Income and Minority Concentration

Within Burlington, families living in poverty (as defined by the Census) are concentrated in the area bounded by North Street, Pearl Street, North Winooski Avenue and North Champlain Street, where over 35% of families are living in poverty.

Map Showing Family Poverty Levels in Burlington Neighborhoods

> 35%
20% to 35%
10% to 20%
< 10%

You can view this information in a table format here.

 

Given the relatively low numbers of minority residents in the city, there are no geographic areas of minority concentration. As of 2000, over 80% of the residents in all census tracts in the city were white and non-hispanic:

Percent of Residents Who Are White and Non-Hispanic
Source: 2000 Census
Census Tract 1 Census Tract 2  Census Tract 3 Census Tract 4 Census Tract 5 Census Tract 6 Census Tract 7 Census Tract 8 Census Tract 9 Census Tract 10 Census Tract 11
94.62%  94.59% 84.28% 87.02% 92.91% 92.78% 95.84% 92.97% 94.58% 87.02% 97.14%

Although there are no meaningful concentrations of minority residents in any area within the city, there is a greater diversity among residents in the Old North End (within census tract 3). To view a map of the city’s census tracts, click here.

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